What's Wrong with Expert Predictions? by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Jason Kuznicki, Philip E. Tetlock, Robin Hanson, Dan Gardner, John Cochrane

missing page info Add in missing page information first pub 2011 (editions)

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Experts must love making predictions. They keep right on predicting, even though by any reasonable standard, they're terrible at it. Many of them, though intelligent and well-informed, nonetheless have difficulty even beating a random guess about ...

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