Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better by Dan Gardner

Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better

Dan Gardner

320 pages • first pub 2010 (editions)

nonfiction history psychology science challenging informative reflective slow-paced
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An award-winning journalist uses landmark research to debunk the whole expert prediction industry, and explores the psychology of our obsession with future history. In 2008, experts predicted gas would hit $20 a gallon; it peaked at $4.10. In 196...

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